ENTRY  N° 33  /  80
Glossary

Kelly Criterion

Part of the theme Expectancy and edge.

Definition

The Kelly Criterion is a formula for the fraction of capital to stake that maximizes long-run growth given a known edge.

Published by John L. Kelly Jr. in 1956, it balances growth against the risk of ruin. Full Kelly is very aggressive, so most traders use a fraction of it.

Formula / example: Trading form: Kelly % = W - (1 - W) / R, with W the win probability and R the reward-to-risk

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