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國際貨幣基金組織官員警告稱,在金融壓力下,中東和中亞銀行面臨的風險和壓力越來越大。

2023/04/16 (4月 16日, 2023 5:32 凌晨)
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中東和中亞的銀行對西方經濟混亂的影響最小

國際貨幣基金組織總裁表示,財務壓力加劇了當前的壓力

據國際貨幣基金組織一位高級官員稱,儘管目前美國和歐洲的銀行業不穩定,但中東和中亞的銀行機構風險敞口很小。然而,由於高利率、波動的油價和多年的兩位數通貨膨脹,這些機構正承受著財務壓力。

IMF 中東和中亞部主任 Jihad Azour 最近表示,銀行業當前的壓力正在助長本已緊縮的貨幣政策,這些政策提高了利率並使借貸更具挑戰性。

Azour 還指出,受苦國家與擁有可靠信用和市場准入的國家(例如約旦、摩洛哥和那些出售石油的國家)之間的差距正在擴大。

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Azour 對已經升級的危險表示擔憂,包括高利率、地緣政治動盪和油價波動加劇,這導致連續三年出現兩位數的通貨膨脹。

Azour 強調,現在由過高的債務水平和社會動蕩的可能性構成的威脅比金融穩定更大。由於社會方面的發展困難,他們也對維持嚴格規則的可行性產生懷疑。

根據 Azour 的說法,鑑於這些風險,建議各國進行更多的結構性改革,以將其發展至少提高一到兩個百分點。

What is the exposure of Middle Eastern and Central Asian banks to Western economic chaos?
According to a top IMF official, the banking institutions in the Middle East and Central Asia have little exposure despite the current banking instability in the United States and Europe.
What financial stresses are these institutions experiencing?
Due to high interest rates, volatile oil prices, and years of double-digit inflation, these institutions are experiencing financial stresses.
What is contributing to restrictive monetary policies and making borrowing more challenging?
The current strain in the banking industry is contributing to the already restrictive monetary policies that boosted interest rates and made borrowing more challenging, according to Jihad Azour, the director of the IMF's Middle East and Central Asia division.
What countries have solid credit and access to markets?
The nations with solid credit and access to markets include Jordan, Morocco, and those that sell oil, according to Azour.
What risks are countries recommended to address to boost their development?
Countries are recommended to carry out more structural changes in order to boost their development by at least one or two percent in light of risks posed by excessive debt levels, social upheaval, high interest rates, geopolitical unrest, and increasing oil price volatility, according to Azour.

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