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Low

Next releaseNovember 15, 2026 at 06:005d
Forecast3.3%
Previous4.2%
ImportanceLow

Track record

Published monthly. Across the 35 releases held here, from 2023-12-14 to 2026-10-15, the actual came in above forecast 13 times, below 20 times and in line 2 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.4%.

What this moves here

Past releases 24

Sep4.2%4.7% · 5%

5.3%0.6%
1471014710
PeriodActualForecastPrevious
Sep4.2%4.7%5%
Aug4.6%5.1%5%
Jul5%5.2%4.8%
Jun4.8%5.6%4.6%
May4.6%3.4%3.3%
Apr3.3%3.4%3.3%
Mar3.3%3.5%3.5%
Feb3.5%2.1%2.9%
Jan2.9%3.3%3.1%
Dec3.1%2%2.3%
Nov2.3%2.6%2.9%
Oct2.9%2.3%2.1%
Sep2.1%2.2%2.1%
Aug2.1%2.1%2.1%
Jul2.1%2.1%2.1%
Jun2.1%1.8%2%
May2%2.3%2%
Apr2%1.6%1.5%
Mar1.5%2.2%1.5%
Feb1.5%1%0.9%
Jan0.9%1.3%1.2%
Dec1.2%1%1.4%
Nov1.4%2.2%2.4%
Oct2.4%2.6%3.1%

History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.