Low
Published monthly. Across the 35 releases held here, from 2023-10-26 to 2026-08-27, the actual came in above forecast 12 times, below 20 times and in line 3 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.3%.
Jul5.7%6.1% · 7.5%
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% |
| Jun | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% |
| May | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Apr | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Mar | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% |
| Feb | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% |
| Jan | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% |
| Dec | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
| Nov | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% |
| Oct | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Sep | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Aug | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Jul | 1.5% | 1% | 0.6% |
| Jun | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| May | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Apr | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Mar | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1% |
| Feb | 1% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Jan | 1.1% | 1% | 0.7% |
| Dec | 0.7% | 0.7% | -0.1% |
| Nov | -0.1% | -0.3% | -0.7% |
| Oct | -0.7% | 0.5% | 1% |
| Sep | 1% | 2.5% | 2.8% |
| Aug | 2.8% | 4% | 4.2% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.