Business Confidence
Low
Forecast—
Previous38%
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published every two weeks. Across the 12 releases held here, from 2023-11-21 to 2026-09-02, the actual came in above forecast 10 times, below 0 times and in line 2 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 1%.
What this moves here
Indices
Past releases 24
Q338%34% · 39%
142.3%30.3%
6810122469
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | 38% | 34% | 39% |
| Jul | 125.4% | — | 123.5% |
| Jun | 123.5% | — | 124.1% |
| May | 124.1% | — | 123.6% |
| Apr | 123.6% | — | 131.3% |
| Q2 | 39% | 38% | 47% |
| Mar | 131.3% | — | 134.6% |
| Feb | 134.6% | — | 133.2% |
| Q1 | 47% | 35% | 44% |
| Dec | 133.2% | — | 132.3% |
| Jan | 131.4% | — | 133.2% |
| Nov | 132.3% | — | 123.8% |
| Oct | 123.8% | — | 121.1% |
| Q4 | 44% | 37% | 39% |
| Sep | 121.1% | — | 120% |
| Aug | 120% | — | 116.7% |
| Q3 | 39% | 38% | 40% |
| Jul | 116.7% | — | 113.2% |
| Jun | 113.2% | — | 115.8% |
| May | 115.8% | — | 114.9% |
| Apr | 114.9% | — | 123.5% |
| Q2 | 40% | 40% | 45% |
| Mar | 123.5% | — | 125.8% |
| Feb | 125.8% | — | 120% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.