Unemployment Rate
Low
Forecast7.4%
Previous7.2%
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published monthly. Across the 32 releases held here, from 2023-11-27 to 2026-09-24, the actual came in above forecast 13 times, below 15 times and in line 4 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.3%.
Past releases 24
Aug7.2%7% · 7%
8.5%6.8%
1127912379
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug | 7.2% | 7% | 7% |
| Jul | 7% | 6.8% | 7% |
| Jun | 7% | 7.8% | 7.6% |
| May | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% |
| Apr | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% |
| Mar | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% |
| Feb | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% |
| Jan | 7.4% | 7% | 7% |
| Dec | 7% | 7.5% | 7.3% |
| Nov | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% |
| Oct | 7.3% | — | 6.9% |
| Sep | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7% |
| Aug | 7% | 7% | 6.9% |
| Jul | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% |
| Jun | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% |
| May | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8% |
| Apr | 8% | 8% | 7.9% |
| Feb | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% |
| Jan | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% |
| Dec | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% |
| Nov | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% |
| Oct | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| Sep | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% |
| Aug | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.