Fed Interest Rate Decision
High
Forecast—
Previous4%
ImportanceHigh
Track record
Published quarterly. Across the 25 releases held here, from 2023-11-01 to 2026-10-28, the actual came in above forecast 0 times, below 1 times and in line 24 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0%.
What this moves here
Currency Indices
+65 more in scope
Past releases 24
Oct 28, 20264%4% · 4%
5.6%3.6%
3712591610
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 4% | 4% | 3.75% |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 3.75% | 3.75% | 3.75% |
| Jun 17, 2026 | 3.75% | 3.75% | 3.75% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 3.75% | 3.75% | 3.75% |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3.75% | 3.75% | 3.75% |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3.75% | 3.75% | 3.75% |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3.75% | 3.75% | 4% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 4% | 4% | 4.25% |
| Sep 17, 2025 | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.5% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Jun 18, 2025 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| May 7, 2025 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.75% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 4.75% | 4.75% | 5% |
| Sep 18, 2024 | 5% | 5.25% | 5.5% |
| Jul 31, 2024 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Jun 12, 2024 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| May 1, 2024 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.