Chicago Fed National Activity Index
Medium
Forecast—
Previous0.07
ImportanceMedium
Track record
Published monthly. Across the 36 releases held here, from 2023-11-21 to 2026-10-26, the actual came in above forecast 14 times, below 21 times and in line 1 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.21.
What this moves here
Currency Indices
+65 more in scope
Past releases 24
Sep0.07-0.1 · -0.08
+0.5-0.5
1471224710
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep | 0.07 | -0.1 | -0.08 |
| Aug | -0.04 | 0.2 | 0.08 |
| Jul | -0.08 | 0.1 | 0.06 |
| Jun | -0.02 | 0.14 | -0.19 |
| May | -0.1 | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| Apr | 0.14 | -0.3 | -0.15 |
| Mar | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.03 |
| Feb | -0.11 | 0.27 | 0.2 |
| Dec | -0.21 | 0.1 | -0.15 |
| Jan | 0.18 | 0.3 | -0.21 |
| Oct | -0.42 | -0.2 | -0.24 |
| Nov | -0.04 | -0.4 | -0.42 |
| Sep | -0.21 | -0.4 | -0.31 |
| Aug | -0.12 | -0.17 | -0.28 |
| Jul | -0.19 | -0.2 | -0.18 |
| Jun | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.16 |
| May | -0.28 | -0.1 | -0.36 |
| Apr | -0.25 | -0.2 | 0.03 |
| Mar | -0.03 | 0.11 | 0.24 |
| Feb | 0.18 | 0.08 | -0.08 |
| Jan | -0.03 | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| Dec | 0.15 | 0.1 | -0.01 |
| Nov | -0.12 | -0.1 | -0.5 |
| Oct | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.27 |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.