Interest Rate Decision
Low
Forecast—
Previous16.5%
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published monthly. Across the 22 releases held here, from 2023-12-14 to 2026-10-29, the actual came in above forecast 8 times, below 4 times and in line 10 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.5%.
What this moves here
Past releases 24
Oct 29, 202616.5%16% · 16%
16.78%12.72%
3712491610
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | 16.5% | 16% | 16% |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 16% | 15.5% | 15.5% |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 15.5% | 15% | 15% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 15% | 14.5% | 15% |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 15% | 15.5% | 15.5% |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 15.5% | 15.5% | 15.5% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 15.5% | 15.5% | 15.5% |
| Sep 11, 2025 | 15.5% | 15.5% | 15.5% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | 15.5% | 15.5% | 15.5% |
| Jun 5, 2025 | 15.5% | 15.5% | 15.5% |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 15.5% | 16.5% | 15.5% |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 15.5% | 15% | 14.5% |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 14.5% | 13.5% | 13.5% |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 13.5% | 13% | 13% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 13% | — | 13% |
| Sep 19, 2024 | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Jul 25, 2024 | 13% | — | 13% |
| Jun 13, 2024 | 13% | 12.5% | 13.5% |
| Apr 25, 2024 | 13.5% | 14.5% | 14.5% |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 14.5% | 15% | 15% |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 15% | 15% | 16% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.