Unemployment Rate

Low

Next releaseOctober 21, 2026 at 10:0038h
Forecast4.4%
Previous4.4%
ImportanceLow

Track record

Published monthly. Across the 35 releases held here, from 2023-11-21 to 2026-09-22, the actual came in above forecast 7 times, below 18 times and in line 10 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.1%.

What this moves here

Past releases 24

Jul4.4%4.3% · 4.3%

5.2%4.2%
1236912369
PeriodActualForecastPrevious
Jul4.4%4.3%4.3%
Jun4.3%4.5%4.4%
May4.4%4.5%4.5%
Apr4.5%4.6%4.6%
Mar4.6%4.8%4.9%
Feb4.9%4.9%5%
Jan5%5%4.8%
Dec4.8%4.7%4.6%
Nov4.6%4.6%4.6%
Oct4.6%4.7%4.5%
Sep4.5%4.6%4.5%
Aug4.5%4.6%4.5%
Jul4.5%4.4%4.3%
Jun4.3%4.5%4.4%
May4.4%4.5%4.5%
Apr4.5%4.6%4.6%
Mar4.6%4.9%4.9%
Feb4.9%5.1%5.1%
Jan5.1%5.1%4.8%
Dec4.8%4.7%4.6%
Nov4.6%4.6%4.6%
Oct4.6%4.5%4.4%
Sep4.4%4.4%4.5%
Aug4.5%4.5%4.5%

History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.