Low
Published monthly. Across the 36 releases held here, from 2023-10-26 to 2026-09-29, the actual came in above forecast 22 times, below 13 times and in line 1 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.4%.
+2 more in scope
Sep6.3%6.8% · 6.8%
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% |
| Aug | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% |
| Jul | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% |
| Jun | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% |
| May | 5.9% | 7% | 6.8% |
| Apr | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% |
| Mar | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% |
| Feb | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% |
| Jan | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7% |
| Dec | 7% | 6.5% | 7.1% |
| Nov | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% |
| Oct | 6.7% | 7% | 6.9% |
| Sep | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% |
| Aug | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% |
| Jul | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% |
| Jun | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% |
| May | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% |
| Apr | 9.5% | 10% | 9.2% |
| Mar | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| Feb | 7.5% | 7% | 6.9% |
| Jan | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% |
| Dec | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% |
| Nov | 6.3% | 6% | 6% |
| Oct | 6% | 5.6% | 5.6% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.