Unemployment Rate
Low
Forecast3.2%
Previous3.1%
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published quarterly. Across the 11 releases held here, from 2023-12-28 to 2026-06-30, the actual came in above forecast 6 times, below 5 times and in line 0 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.4%.
What this moves here
Past releases 11
Q13.1%3.5% · 3.5%
5.3%2.6%
31296
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| Q4 | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| Q3 | 3.4% | 3% | 3.2% |
| Q2 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% |
| Q1 | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% |
| Q4 | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% |
| Q3 | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% |
| Q2 | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| Q1 | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Q4 | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| Q3 | 5.1% | 5% | 4.9% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.