Low
Published monthly. Across the 32 releases held here, from 2023-11-01 to 2026-05-22, the actual came in above forecast 18 times, below 12 times and in line 2 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.55.
Jul13— · 13.2
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul | 13 | — | 13.2 |
| Jun | 13.2 | — | 13 |
| May | 13 | — | 12.3 |
| Apr | 12.3% | 12% | 11.8% |
| Mar | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.4% |
| Feb | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% |
| Jan | 9.7% | 10% | 10.6% |
| Dec | 10.6% | 12.7% | 13% |
| Nov | 13% | 12.3% | 13% |
| Oct | 13% | 12.5% | 12.7% |
| Sep | 12.7% | 14.1% | 14.4% |
| Aug | 14.4% | 15% | 15% |
| Jul | 15% | 15.1% | 15% |
| Jun | 15% | 15% | 15.3% |
| May | 15.3% | 13% | 14% |
| Apr | 14% | 16.9% | 17% |
| Mar | 17% | 18.3% | 18.4% |
| Feb | 18.4% | 19.2% | 19.2% |
| Jan | 19.2% | 18.8% | 19.2% |
| Dec | 19.2% | 20.7% | 20% |
| Nov | 20% | 19.6% | 19.5% |
| Oct | 19.5% | 19% | 18.8% |
| Sep | 18.8% | 17.5% | 17.9% |
| Aug | 17.9% | 18% | 18.2% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.