Business Confidence
Low
Forecast—
Previous-0.2
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published monthly. Across the 37 releases held here, from 2023-11-01 to 2026-10-28, the actual came in above forecast 18 times, below 17 times and in line 2 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.6.
What this moves here
Indices
Past releases 24
Oct-0.2-0.8 · -0.4
+7.6-7.6
2471024710
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct | -0.2 | -0.8 | -0.4 |
| Sep | -0.5 | -1 | -1 |
| Aug | -1 | -1.1 | -1.1 |
| Jul | -1.2 | -1.9 | -1.9 |
| Jun | -2.1 | 0.2 | -1 |
| May | -1 | -3 | -3.2 |
| Apr | -3.2 | -1.1 | -1.3 |
| Mar | -0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Feb | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Jan | 0.7 | -0.1 | -0.9 |
| Dec | -0.3 | -2 | -2.1 |
| Nov | -1.8 | -1.4 | -1.2 |
| Oct | -1.1 | -2 | -1.5 |
| Sep | -1.6 | -2 | -0.6 |
| Aug | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| Jul | 0 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| Jun | 0.5 | -0.3 | -0.3 |
| May | 0.1 | 2 | 1.8 |
| Apr | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| Mar | 2.8 | 6 | 3.5 |
| Feb | 3.3 | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| Jan | 4.2 | 6.8 | 6.7 |
| Dec | 6.9 | 7.2 | 7 |
| Nov | 7 | 7.7 | 6.9 |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.