Low
Published monthly. Across the 35 releases held here, from 2023-11-21 to 2026-09-18, the actual came in above forecast 17 times, below 17 times and in line 1 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 1.3%.
+3 more in scope
Aug4.3%6.8% · 4.9%
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Jul | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% |
| Jun | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| May | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% |
| Apr | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.5% |
| Mar | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Feb | 1.5% | 1.3% | -1.5% |
| Jan | -1.5% | 2.4% | 7.3% |
| Dec | 7.3% | 2.9% | -1.1% |
| Nov | -1.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% |
| Oct | 3.2% | 2.5% | 7.6% |
| Sep | 7.4% | 5% | 0.7% |
| Aug | 0.7% | 0.3% | 3% |
| Jul | 2.9% | 1.6% | -0.4% |
| Jun | -0.1% | 1.5% | 4% |
| May | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Apr | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.4% |
| Mar | 2.5% | 3.6% | -1.9% |
| Feb | -2% | -1.1% | -0.9% |
| Jan | -1% | -1.4% | 0.2% |
| Dec | 0.2% | 1.8% | -1.3% |
| Nov | -1.5% | -0.2% | 4.6% |
| Oct | 4.7% | 1.8% | -0.4% |
| Sep | -0.3% | 0.2% | -1.2% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.