Interest Rate Decision
Low
Forecast—
Previous12%
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published monthly. Across the 23 releases held here, from 2023-12-12 to 2026-10-26, the actual came in above forecast 4 times, below 5 times and in line 14 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0%.
What this moves here
Indices
Past releases 24
Oct 26, 202612%11.5% · 11.5%
22.9%9.6%
3712591610
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | 12% | 11.5% | 11.5% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% |
| Apr 27, 2026 | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 10.5% | 10% | 10.5% |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 10.5% | 11% | 11% |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Sep 15, 2025 | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | 11% | — | 11% |
| Jun 16, 2025 | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| May 5, 2025 | 11% | 12% | 12% |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 12% | 11% | 12% |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 12% | 12% | 13% |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 13% | 13% | 15% |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 15% | 15.5% | 17.5% |
| Sep 12, 2024 | 17.5% | 18% | 19.5% |
| Jul 29, 2024 | 19.5% | 19.5% | 20.5% |
| Jun 10, 2024 | 20.5% | 21% | 22% |
| Apr 29, 2024 | 22% | 22% | 22% |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 22% | 22% | 22% |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 22% | 22% | 22% |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 22% | 22% | 22% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.