Interest Rate Decision
Medium
Forecast5.25%
Previous5%
ImportanceMedium
Track record
Published quarterly. Across the 19 releases held here, from 2023-11-16 to 2026-08-27, the actual came in above forecast 2 times, below 2 times and in line 15 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0%.
What this moves here
Indices
Rates
Past releases 20
Aug 27, 20265%5% · 4.75%
6.7%4.1%
1251041038
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | 5% | 5% | 4.75% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | 4.75% | 4.75% | 4.5% |
| Apr 23, 2026 | 4.5% | 4.25% | 4.25% |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 4.25% | — | 4.25% |
| Feb 19, 2026 | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.5% |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.75% |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 4.75% | 5% | 5% |
| Aug 28, 2025 | 5% | 5% | 5.25% |
| Jun 19, 2025 | 5.25% | 5.25% | 5.5% |
| Apr 10, 2025 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.75% |
| Feb 13, 2025 | 5.75% | 5.5% | 5.75% |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 5.75% | 5.75% | 6% |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 6% | 6% | 6.25% |
| Aug 15, 2024 | 6.25% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Jun 27, 2024 | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| May 16, 2024 | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.