Interest Rate Decision
Low
Forecast—
Previous4.25%
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published monthly. Across the 33 releases held here, from 2023-12-14 to 2026-10-07, the actual came in above forecast 3 times, below 5 times and in line 25 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0%.
What this moves here
Indices
Rates
Past releases 24
Oct4.25%4.5% · 4.25%
5.06%4.19%
1471014710
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct | 4.25% | 4.5% | 4.25% |
| Sep | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.25% |
| Aug | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.25% |
| Jul | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.25% |
| Jun | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.25% |
| May | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.25% |
| Apr | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.25% |
| Mar | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.25% |
| Feb | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.25% |
| Jan | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.25% |
| Dec | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.25% |
| Nov | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.25% |
| Oct | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.25% |
| Sep | 4.25% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Aug | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Jul | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Jun | 4.5% | — | 4.5% |
| May | 4.5% | 4.75% | 4.75% |
| Apr | 4.75% | 4.75% | 4.75% |
| Mar | 4.75% | 4.75% | 4.75% |
| Feb | 4.75% | 4.75% | 4.75% |
| Jan | 4.75% | — | 5% |
| Dec | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| Nov | 5% | 5% | 5.25% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.