Low
Published monthly. Across the 34 releases held here, from 2023-10-01 to 2026-09-01, the actual came in above forecast 15 times, below 19 times and in line 0 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 6.25%.
+6 more in scope
Jul-4.3%2.5% · -3.7%
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul | -4.3% | 2.5% | -3.7% |
| Jun | -3.6% | -2.3% | -4.9% |
| May | -4% | -6.3% | 11.1% |
| Apr | 10.9% | -3.6% | -0.8% |
| Mar | -1.3% | -0.4% | 2.8% |
| Feb | 2.7% | 4.5% | 2% |
| Jan | 1.9% | 2% | -4.5% |
| Dec | -4.6% | 1% | 2.7% |
| Nov | 2.8% | 1% | -0.7% |
| Oct | -0.9% | -5% | 7.3% |
| Sep | 7.2% | 0.8% | 6.1% |
| Aug | 5.8% | -4.3% | 5.3% |
| Jul | 5.4% | 4.5% | -6% |
| Jun | -6.4% | 2.3% | 10.3% |
| May | 10.4% | -1.8% | -14.6% |
| Apr | -15.6% | -2.3% | 10.7% |
| Mar | 9.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Feb | 0.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Jan | 2.6% | 3% | -5.6% |
| Dec | -5.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% |
| Nov | 5.3 | — | -5.2 |
| Oct | -5.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% |
| Sep | 2.6% | -1.6% | -5.2% |
| Aug | -5.3% | -6.8% | 26.4% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.