Unemployment Rate
Low
Forecast4.5%
Previous4.5%
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published monthly. Across the 33 releases held here, from 2023-11-23 to 2026-09-23, the actual came in above forecast 15 times, below 14 times and in line 4 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.3%.
What this moves here
Indices
+5 more in scope
Past releases 24
Aug4.5%4.5% · 4.2%
5.54%3.56%
1236912369
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% |
| Jul | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% |
| Jun | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% |
| May | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% |
| Apr | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% |
| Mar | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| Feb | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% |
| Jan | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| Dec | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Nov | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% |
| Oct | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% |
| Sep | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% |
| Aug | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Jul | 4.5% | 5% | 5.5% |
| Jun | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% |
| May | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% |
| Apr | 4.3% | — | 4.4% |
| Mar | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4% |
| Feb | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% |
| Jan | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| Dec | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% |
| Nov | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4% |
| Oct | 4.1% | 4% | 4% |
| Sep | 4% | 4% | 4% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.