GDP Growth Rate YoY
Low
Forecast4.9%
Previous6%
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published quarterly. Across the 12 releases held here, from 2023-11-17 to 2026-08-14, the actual came in above forecast 7 times, below 3 times and in line 2 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.2%.
What this moves here
Rates
Past releases 12
Q26%5.8% · 5.4%
6.6%2.7%
52118
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | 6% | 5.8% | 5.4% |
| Q1 | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% |
| Q4 | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% |
| Q3 | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Q2 | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% |
| Q1 | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% |
| Q4 | 5% | 4.8% | 5.4% |
| Q3 | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% |
| Q2 | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% |
| Q1 | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Q4 | 3% | 3.4% | 3.3% |
| Q3 | 3.3% | 3% | 2.9% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.