Unemployment Rate
Low
Forecast3.2%
Previous3.5%
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published quarterly. Across the 11 releases held here, from 2023-12-14 to 2026-06-12, the actual came in above forecast 6 times, below 4 times and in line 1 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.3%.
What this moves here
Indices
Past releases 11
Q13.5%3% · 3.4%
3.6%2.4%
31296
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | 3.5% | 3% | 3.4% |
| Q4 | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% |
| Q3 | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
| Q2 | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% |
| Q1 | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% |
| Q4 | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
| Q3 | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| Q2 | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3% |
| Q1 | 3% | 2.7% | 2.9% |
| Q4 | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Q3 | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.