Unemployment Rate
Low
Forecast3.8%
Previous3.7%
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published quarterly. Across the 8 releases held here, from 2023-10-05 to 2026-07-31, the actual came in above forecast 3 times, below 5 times and in line 0 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.4%.
What this moves here
Past releases 10
Q13.7%4.5% · 3.8%
5.3%3.6%
10197
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Q4 | 3.8% | — | 4.3% |
| Q3 | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| Q2 | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% |
| Q1 | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
| Q4 | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
| Q3 | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% |
| Q4 | 4.3% | — | 4.7% |
| Q3 | 4.7% | 5% | 5.2% |
| Q2 | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.