Low
Published monthly. Across the 33 releases held here, from 2023-11-16 to 2026-10-30, the actual came in above forecast 16 times, below 15 times and in line 2 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 1.1%.
Sep6.9%2.5% · 5.2%
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep | 6.9% | 2.5% | 5.2% |
| Aug | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% |
| Jul | 5% | 1.6% | 4.1% |
| Jun | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% |
| May | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Apr | 1.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Mar | 0.5% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Feb | 1.1% | 3.3% | 3% |
| Jan | 3% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Dec | 2.5% | 1% | 0.6% |
| Nov | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% |
| Oct | 0.9% | 0.4% | -0.5% |
| Sep | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% |
| Aug | -0.4% | -0.8% | -0.3% |
| Jul | -0.5% | -0.2% | 0.2% |
| Jun | 0.2% | -0.2% | 0.1% |
| May | 0% | -0.8% | -1% |
| Apr | -1.1% | -3% | -2.9% |
| Mar | -3.6% | -4.4% | -4.6% |
| Feb | -4.6% | — | -4.4% |
| Jan | -3.6% | — | -1.7% |
| Dec | -1.7% | 0.5% | -1.3% |
| Nov | -1.4% | — | -0.1% |
| Oct | 0.1% | — | 3.6% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.