Interest Rate Decision
Low
Forecast15.75%
Previous16.25%
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published quarterly. Across the 23 releases held here, from 2023-11-24 to 2026-09-04, the actual came in above forecast 5 times, below 8 times and in line 10 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.25%.
What this moves here
Past releases 23
Sep 4, 202616.25%16.5% · 16.75%
18.30%13.95%
1510371149
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | 16.25% | 16.5% | 16.75% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | 16.75% | 17% | 17% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | 17% | 18% | 18% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | 18% | 18% | 18% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 18% | 18% | 18% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 18% | 18% | 18% |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 18% | 18% | 18% |
| Oct 10, 2025 | 18% | 17.5% | 16.5% |
| Aug 29, 2025 | 16.5% | 16.5% | 16.5% |
| Jul 11, 2025 | 16.5% | 16.5% | 16.5% |
| Jun 5, 2025 | 16.5% | 16.5% | 16.5% |
| Apr 11, 2025 | 16.5% | 16.5% | 16.5% |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 16.5% | 15.75% | 15.25% |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 15.25% | 15.25% | 15.25% |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 15.25% | 14.25% | 14.25% |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 14.25% | 14.25% | 14.25% |
| Aug 29, 2024 | 14.25% | 14% | 14.25% |
| Jul 12, 2024 | 14.25% | 14.5% | 14.5% |
| May 31, 2024 | 14.5% | 14.75% | 14.75% |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 14.75% | 14.5% | 14.75% |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 14.75% | 15% | 15.25% |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 15.25% | 15.5% | 15.75% |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 15.75% | 16% | 16% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.