Interest Rate Decision
Low
Forecast—
Previous6%
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published monthly. Across the 24 releases held here, from 2023-11-21 to 2026-09-28, the actual came in above forecast 5 times, below 3 times and in line 16 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0%.
What this moves here
Indices
Past releases 24
Sep 28, 20266%5.5% · 5.5%
7.12%5.38%
2611381259
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | 6% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Aug 19, 2026 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| May 20, 2026 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Feb 23, 2026 | 5.5% | 5.75% | 5.75% |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 5.75% | 5.5% | 5.75% |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 5.75% | 5.75% | 5.75% |
| Sep 29, 2025 | 5.75% | 5.5% | 5.75% |
| Aug 20, 2025 | 5.75% | 5.75% | 5.75% |
| Jun 30, 2025 | 5.75% | 5.75% | 5.75% |
| May 20, 2025 | 5.75% | 6% | 6% |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | 6% | 5.75% | 6% |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 6% | 6.25% | 6.25% |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.5% |
| Sep 30, 2024 | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.75% |
| Aug 20, 2024 | 6.75% | 6.5% | 7% |
| Jun 28, 2024 | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| May 20, 2024 | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| Nov 21, 2023 | 7% | 7% | 7% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.