Low
Published monthly. Across the 35 releases held here, from 2023-11-24 to 2026-09-23, the actual came in above forecast 19 times, below 15 times and in line 1 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 1.2%.
Aug-3.3%0.7% · -0.5%
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug | -3.3% | 0.7% | -0.5% |
| Jul | -0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% |
| Jun | 1.6% | 0.1% | 2% |
| May | 2% | 1.2% | 2.3% |
| Apr | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% |
| Mar | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% |
| Feb | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jan | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% |
| Dec | 1.4% | 0.1% | 3.7% |
| Nov | 3.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% |
| Oct | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
| Sep | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1% |
| Aug | 1% | -0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jul | 0.1% | -0.3% | -0.6% |
| Jun | -0.6% | -0.4% | -2.3% |
| May | -2.3% | -0.3% | -0.8% |
| Apr | -0.8% | -0.6% | -1% |
| Mar | -1% | -0.4% | 0.8% |
| Feb | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% |
| Jan | 1.5% | -0.4% | -0.6% |
| Dec | -0.6% | 0.9% | 2.8% |
| Nov | 2.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% |
| Oct | 1.3% | -0.1% | -0.7% |
| Sep | -0.7% | -0.7% | -1% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.