Interest Rate Decision
Low
Forecast—
Previous3.25%
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published monthly. Across the 23 releases held here, from 2023-11-27 to 2026-09-01, the actual came in above forecast 3 times, below 3 times and in line 17 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0%.
What this moves here
Past releases 23
Sep3.25%3.5% · 3.5%
4.87%3.13%
1510271139
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep | 3.25% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| Jul | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.75% |
| May | 3.75% | 3.75% | 4% |
| Mar | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| Feb | 4% | 3.75% | 4% |
| Jan | 4% | 4.25% | 4.25% |
| Nov | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.5% |
| Sep | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Aug | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Jul | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| May | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Apr | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Feb | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Jan | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Oct | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Sep | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Aug | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Jul | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| May | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Apr | 4.5% | 4.38% | 4.5% |
| Feb | 4.5% | 4.38% | 4.5% |
| Jan | 4.5% | 4.63% | 4.75% |
| Nov | 4.75% | 4.75% | 4.75% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.