Inflation Expectations
Low
Forecast—
Previous1.7%
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published monthly. Across the 34 releases held here, from 2023-11-21 to 2026-10-29, the actual came in above forecast 8 times, below 19 times and in line 7 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.1%.
What this moves here
Past releases 24
Oct1.7%1.4% · 1.6%
2.8%1.2%
1471014710
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% |
| Sep | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Aug | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
| Jul | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
| Jun | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% |
| May | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Apr | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% |
| Mar | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Feb | 1.5% | — | 1.4% |
| Jan | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% |
| Dec | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% |
| Nov | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Oct | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% |
| Sep | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Aug | 1.6% | 2% | 1.6% |
| Jul | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| Jun | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| May | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Apr | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2% |
| Mar | 2% | 2.1% | 2% |
| Feb | 2% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| Jan | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% |
| Dec | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% |
| Nov | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.