Interest Rate Decision
Medium
Forecast5.75%
Previous5.75%
ImportanceMedium
Track record
Published monthly. Across the 35 releases held here, from 2023-11-23 to 2026-09-23, the actual came in above forecast 3 times, below 5 times and in line 27 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0%.
What this moves here
Indices
Rates
Past releases 24
Sep 23, 20265.75%5.75% · 5.75%
6.10%4.65%
147101469
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | 5.75% | 5.75% | 5.75% |
| Aug | 5.75% | 5.75% | 5.75% |
| Jul 22, 2026 | 5.75% | 6% | 5.75% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | 5.75% | 5.75% | 5.5% |
| Jun 9, 2026 | 5.5% | — | 5.25% |
| May 20, 2026 | 5.25% | 5% | 4.75% |
| Apr 22, 2026 | 4.75% | 4.75% | 4.75% |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 4.75% | 4.75% | 4.75% |
| Feb 19, 2026 | 4.75% | 4.75% | 4.75% |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 4.75% | 4.75% | 4.75% |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 4.75% | 4.75% | 4.75% |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 4.75% | 4.75% | 4.75% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 4.75% | 4.5% | 4.75% |
| Sep 17, 2025 | 4.75% | 5% | 5% |
| Aug 20, 2025 | 5% | 5.25% | 5.25% |
| Jul 16, 2025 | 5.25% | 5.25% | 5.5% |
| Jun 18, 2025 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| May 21, 2025 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.75% |
| Apr 23, 2025 | 5.75% | 5.75% | 5.75% |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 5.75% | 5.75% | 5.75% |
| Feb 19, 2025 | 5.75% | 5.75% | 5.75% |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 5.75% | 6% | 6% |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 6% | 6% | 6% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.