GDP Growth Rate YoY
Low
Forecast—
Previous6%
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published quarterly. Across the 12 releases held here, from 2023-12-20 to 2026-09-09, the actual came in above forecast 8 times, below 3 times and in line 1 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 1.5%.
What this moves here
Indices
Past releases 12
Q26%4.8% · 6.4%
7.62%1.58%
63129
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | 6% | 4.8% | 6.4% |
| Q1 | 6.4% | 6% | 5.8% |
| Q4 | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% |
| Q3 | 5.5% | 9% | 6.5% |
| Q2 | 6.3% | 3.4% | 6.3% |
| Q1 | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% |
| Q4 | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% |
| Q3 | 7.2% | 4.5% | 7% |
| Q2 | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% |
| Q1 | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% |
| Q4 | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2% |
| Q3 | 2% | 2.9% | 3.2% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.