Low
Published monthly. Across the 35 releases held here, from 2023-10-10 to 2026-09-10, the actual came in above forecast 18 times, below 15 times and in line 2 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.4%.
Aug4.9%5.1% · 5.2%
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% |
| Jul | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% |
| Jun | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% |
| May | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% |
| Apr | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% |
| Mar | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5% |
| Feb | 5% | 5.2% | 5.1% |
| Jan | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% |
| Dec | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% |
| Nov | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% |
| Oct | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5% |
| Sep | 5% | 4.9% | 4.7% |
| Aug | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
| Jul | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% |
| Jun | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% |
| May | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% |
| Apr | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% |
| Mar | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% |
| Feb | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% |
| Jan | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% |
| Dec | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2% |
| Nov | 2% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Oct | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| Sep | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.