Low
Published monthly. Across the 35 releases held here, from 2023-10-05 to 2026-09-10, the actual came in above forecast 14 times, below 17 times and in line 4 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.9%.
+17 more in scope
Jul2.3%1.6% · 1.1%
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Jun | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% |
| May | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| Apr | 2% | 2% | 1.9% |
| Mar | 1.8% | -1.8% | -0.9% |
| Feb | -1.1% | 1.5% | -0.2% |
| Jan | 0.3% | 1.7% | -0.3% |
| Dec | -0.3% | 4% | 4.6% |
| Nov | 4.5% | 1% | 1.2% |
| Oct | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Sep | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% |
| Aug | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% |
| Jul | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Jun | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% |
| May | 1.7% | 1% | 0.6% |
| Apr | 0.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Mar | 1% | 1.9% | -1.9% |
| Feb | -1.9% | -0.1% | -1.2% |
| Jan | -1% | — | 2% |
| Dec | 2.1% | 0.5% | -0.1% |
| Nov | -0.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Oct | 1.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% |
| Sep | 0.6% | 0.2% | -0.1% |
| Aug | -0.1% | 0.1% | -0.4% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.