Low
Published monthly. Across the 34 releases held here, from 2023-11-20 to 2026-09-21, the actual came in above forecast 19 times, below 13 times and in line 2 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.75%.
Aug1.4%1% · -0.6%
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug | 1.4% | 1% | -0.6% |
| Jul | -0.6% | 0.5% | -0.3% |
| Jun | -0.3% | -0.6% | 1.1% |
| May | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0% |
| Apr | 0% | -1% | -3.6% |
| Mar | -3.6% | 0.4% | -0.1% |
| Feb | -0.1% | -1.9% | 5.7% |
| Jan | 5.7% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| Dec | -1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nov | 0.2% | -0.3% | 0.3% |
| Oct | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% |
| Sep | 0.5% | -2% | 1.6% |
| Aug | 1.6% | 0.5% | -0.3% |
| Jul | -0.3% | -0.4% | -1.4% |
| Jun | -1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| May | 0.2% | -0.6% | -1% |
| Apr | -1% | -1% | -3.5% |
| Mar | -3.5% | 0.5% | 3.3% |
| Feb | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
| Jan | 0.9% | 1% | 0.4% |
| Dec | 0.4% | 0.5% | -0.4% |
| Nov | -0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Oct | 0.3% | -0.8% | -1.6% |
| Sep | -1.6% | 0.8% | 1% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.