Medium
Published monthly. Across the 35 releases held here, from 2023-11-20 to 2026-09-18, the actual came in above forecast 10 times, below 18 times and in line 7 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.3%.
+17 more in scope
Aug4.6%4.1% · 3%
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3% |
| Jul | 3% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Jun | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% |
| May | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Apr | 1.7% | 1.5% | -0.2% |
| Mar | -0.2% | -1.8% | -3.3% |
| Feb | -3.3% | -2.7% | -3% |
| Jan | -3% | -2.1% | -2.5% |
| Dec | -2.5% | -2.4% | -2.3% |
| Nov | -2.3% | -2.2% | -1.8% |
| Oct | -1.8% | -1.9% | -1.7% |
| Sep | -1.7% | -1.9% | -2.2% |
| Aug | -2.2% | -1.7% | -1.5% |
| Jul | -1.5% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| Jun | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.2% |
| May | -1.2% | -1.2% | -0.9% |
| Apr | -0.9% | -0.6% | -0.2% |
| Mar | -0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| Feb | 0.7% | 1% | 0.5% |
| Jan | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Dec | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nov | 0.1% | -0.3% | -1.1% |
| Oct | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.4% |
| Sep | -1.4% | -0.8% | -0.8% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.