Unemployment Rate
Low
Forecast—
Previous4%
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published monthly. Across the 37 releases held here, from 2023-11-03 to 2026-10-30, the actual came in above forecast 12 times, below 19 times and in line 6 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.2%.
What this moves here
Indices
Past releases 24
Sep4%3.8% · 4%
5.3%2.8%
1571014710
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep | 4% | 3.8% | 4% |
| Aug | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4% |
| Jul | 3.9% | 3% | 3.8% |
| Jun | 3% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| May | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| Apr | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Mar | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
| Feb | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| Jan | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
| Dec | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| Nov | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| Oct | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Sep | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% |
| Aug | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5% |
| Jul | 5% | 3.7% | 4.7% |
| Jun | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% |
| May | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| Apr | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% |
| Mar | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% |
| Feb | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5% |
| Jan | 5% | 4.5% | 4.9% |
| Dec | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% |
| Nov | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Oct | 4.5% | 5% | 4.6% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.