Interest Rate Decision
Low
Forecast—
Previous12.25%
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published monthly. Across the 19 releases held here, from 2023-12-19 to 2026-10-30, the actual came in above forecast 9 times, below 4 times and in line 6 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.25%.
What this moves here
Indices
Past releases 24
Nov12.25%12.25% · 12.25%
13.03%8.97%
3712491610
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov | 12.25% | 12.25% | 12.25% |
| Sep | 12.25% | 12% | 12% |
| Aug | 12% | 12.5% | 12% |
| Jun | 12% | 11.75% | 11.25% |
| May | 11.25% | 11.75% | 11.25% |
| Feb | 11.25% | 11.25% | 10.25% |
| Jan | 10.25% | 9.75% | 9.25% |
| Dec | 9.25% | 9.25% | 9.25% |
| Nov | 9.25% | — | 9.25% |
| Sep | 9.25% | — | 9.25% |
| Aug | 9.25% | 9% | 9.25% |
| Jul | 9.25% | — | 9.25% |
| May | 9.25% | 9.5% | 9.5% |
| Apr | 9.5% | 9.25% | 9.5% |
| Feb | 9.5% | 9.25% | 9.5% |
| Dec | 9.5% | 9.25% | 9.75% |
| Nov | 9.75% | 9.5% | 10.25% |
| Oct | 10.25% | — | 10.75% |
| Aug | 10.75% | 10.75% | 11.25% |
| Jul | 11.25% | 11.25% | 11.75% |
| May | 11.75% | 11.75% | 12.25% |
| Mar | 12.25% | — | 12.75% |
| Jan | 12.75% | 12.5% | 13% |
| Feb | 12.75% | — | 13% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.