Medium
Published monthly. Across the 36 releases held here, from 2023-10-13 to 2026-09-09, the actual came in above forecast 12 times, below 17 times and in line 7 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.1%.
+1 more in scope
Aug3.8%3.7% · 3.5%
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% |
| Jul | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% |
| Jun | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% |
| May | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Apr | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Mar | 0.5% | 0.4% | -0.9% |
| Feb | -0.9% | -1.1% | -1.4% |
| Jan | -1.4% | -1.5% | -1.9% |
| Dec | -1.9% | -2% | -2.2% |
| Nov | -2.2% | -2% | -2.1% |
| Oct | -2.1% | -2.2% | -2.3% |
| Sep | -2.3% | -2.3% | -2.9% |
| Aug | -2.9% | -2.9% | -3.6% |
| Jul | -3.6% | -3.3% | -3.6% |
| Jun | -3.6% | -3.2% | -3.3% |
| May | -3.3% | -3.2% | -2.7% |
| Apr | -2.7% | -2.6% | -2.5% |
| Mar | -2.5% | -2.3% | -2.2% |
| Feb | -2.2% | -2.1% | -2.3% |
| Jan | -2.3% | -2.1% | -2.3% |
| Dec | -2.3% | -2.3% | -2.5% |
| Nov | -2.5% | -2.8% | -2.9% |
| Oct | -2.9% | -2.5% | -2.8% |
| Sep | -2.8% | -2.5% | -1.8% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.