Interest Rate Decision
Low
Forecast—
Previous4.5%
ImportanceLow
Track record
Published monthly. Across the 22 releases held here, from 2023-10-26 to 2026-09-08, the actual came in above forecast 2 times, below 1 times and in line 19 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0%.
What this moves here
Indices
Rates
Past releases 24
Sep4.5%4.5% · 4.5%
9.36%4.14%
1610371249
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Jul | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Jun | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Apr | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Mar | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Jan | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Dec | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.75% |
| Oct | 4.75% | — | 4.75% |
| Sep | 4.75% | 4.75% | 4.75% |
| Jul | 4.75% | 4.75% | 5% |
| Jun | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| Apr | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| Mar | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| Jan | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| Dec | 5% | 5% | 5.25% |
| Oct | 5.25% | 5.25% | 5.5% |
| Sep | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.75% |
| Jul | 5.75% | 5.5% | 5.75% |
| Jun | 5.75% | 5.75% | 6% |
| May | 6% | 6% | 6.5% |
| Apr | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.25% |
| Jan | 7.25% | — | 8.25% |
| Nov | 8.25% | 8.5% | 9% |
| Oct | 9% | 8.75% | 9.5% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.