GDP Growth Rate YoY

Low

Forecast—
Previous-3.8%
ImportanceLow

Track record

Published quarterly. Across the 10 releases held here, from 2023-12-25 to 2026-08-26, the actual came in above forecast 6 times, below 4 times and in line 0 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.95%.

What this moves here

Past releases 11

Q1-3.8%2.4% · 4.6%

+4.97%-4.97%
41108
PeriodActualForecastPrevious
Q1-3.8%2.4%4.6%
Q44.6%3.5%4%
Q34%2%2.5%
Q22.5%3.2%2.7%
Q12.7%3%3.4%
Q43.4%2.8%2.9%
Q32.1%—0.7%
Q21.3%3.5%3.3%
Q13.3%2.5%3.5%
Q43.5%1.7%2.45%
Q32.45%2.4%2%

History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.