Low
Published monthly. Across the 36 releases held here, from 2023-10-16 to 2026-09-15, the actual came in above forecast 14 times, below 16 times and in line 6 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.25%.
Aug5.1%5.1% · 4.5%
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Jul | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% |
| Jun | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% |
| May | 6.9% | 7% | 6.8% |
| Apr | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Mar | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Jan | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5% |
| Feb | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% |
| Dec | 5% | 5% | 5.2% |
| Nov | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% |
| Oct | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% |
| Sep | 5.6% | 5% | 5.3% |
| Aug | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% |
| Jul | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% |
| Jun | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% |
| May | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% |
| Apr | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4% |
| Mar | 4% | 3.9% | 4% |
| Feb | 4% | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| Jan | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% |
| Dec | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Nov | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Oct | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Sep | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.