Low
Published monthly. Across the 34 releases held here, from 2023-10-24 to 2026-08-26, the actual came in above forecast 14 times, below 17 times and in line 3 times. The typical gap between forecast and actual is 0.2%.
+9 more in scope
Jul3.5%3.3% · 3.8%
| Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% |
| Jun | 3.8% | 4% | 4% |
| May | 4% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
| Apr | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% |
| Mar | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Feb | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| Jan | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% |
| Dec | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% |
| Nov | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% |
| Oct | 3.3% | 3% | 3.2% |
| Sep | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3% |
| Aug | 3% | 2.9% | 2.8% |
| Jul | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Jun | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% |
| May | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% |
| Apr | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% |
| Mar | 2.4% | — | 2.4% |
| Feb | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Jan | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% |
| Dec | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| Nov | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% |
| Oct | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| Sep | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% |
| Aug | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% |
History goes back to 2023, which is as far as our data provider carries it.