Progressive Corporation (The)

PGRInsurance - Property & CasualtyOpen

223.59+1.5%Up to 1000x leverageTrade PGR

What it reported

Reported 90 days ago, on 2026-07-15.

EPS against forecast+4.5%
Revenue against forecast+8.2%
Share price, two sessions-8.2%

Forecast against the result

ForecastReportedSurprise
Revenue19.5B21.1B+5.0% year on year+8.2%
Net income2.7B3.3B+4.3% year on year+22.3%
Earnings per share4.644.85-0.6% year on year+4.5%

Year on year compares the same quarter a year earlier (2025-07-16), not the quarter before.

PGR trades at up to 1000x here. At 1000x, a 0.10% move against you wipes out the whole margin. This ignores fees, funding and maintenance margin, all of which bring liquidation forward. Your actual liquidation price is the one shown on the order page.

You can hold through the announcement here

PGR is quoted here 24 hours a day and does not stop when the US market closes. On a US exchange the same news only shows up as a gap at the next open.

What the market expects

For the quarter ending 2026-09-30.

EPS forecast14 analysts
4.35
3.884.58
Revenue forecast6 analysts
22.6B
22.4B22.9B
Net income
2.5B
2.3B2.7B
EBITDA
3.3B
2.9B3.5B

Against the same quarter last year (2025-10-15): EPS +7.4%revenue +5.7%

These are third-party analyst forecasts. CoinUnited.io does not produce them and does not choose which analysts are included.

Where the revenue comes from

  • Personal Lines Segment87.8%18.7B
  • Commercial Lines Segment12.2%2.6B

Most recent reported quarter (2026-03-31).

Track record

Next report expected 2026-10-21. Reports quarterly.

Beat estimates 4 of the last 8 quarters. The typical gap is +0.09 per share.

How much it actually moves

±2.7%

Median move across the two sessions around the report, over its last 8 results. On an ordinary two-day stretch it moves 1.3%.

2026-07-15-8.19%

Beat or miss, then up or down

RoseFell
Beat22
Missed22

Counted across 8 results. This is what happened, not what will.

Where analysts put it in 12 months

A different timescale from the rest of this page: these are 12-month views, not the two-day move around a report.

Lowest198.00
Median228.00
Highest245.00
FirmTargetSet onSource
HSBC216.002026-10-07TheFly
Raymond James245.002026-09-21StreetInsider
Mizuho Securities230.002026-09-16TheFly
UBS234.002026-08-27TheFly
Roth Capital245.002026-08-20TheFly
Goldman Sachs230.002026-08-19StreetInsider
Jefferies228.002026-08-19StreetInsider
Cantor Fitzgerald200.002026-08-17TheFly
Morgan Stanley210.002026-07-24StreetInsider
BMO Capital205.002026-07-16TheFly
Wells Fargo198.002026-07-16TheFly
Evercore ISI240.002026-07-10TheFly
RBC Capital208.002026-05-22StreetInsider

From 13 firms that published a target in the last 180 days, latest call per firm. Targets are set by those firms; CoinUnited.io does not produce or endorse them.

Reported results

ReportedEPS forecastEPS actualSurpriseRevenue surprise
2026-07-154.644.85+4.5%+8.2%
2026-04-154.854.81-0.8%+2.9%
2026-01-284.444.67+5.2%-3.9%
2025-10-154.994.05-18.8%-1.9%
2025-07-164.434.88+10.2%-1.9%
2025-04-164.794.65-2.9%+3.4%
2025-01-293.574.08+14.3%-1.1%
2024-10-153.693.58-3.0%+2.3%
2024-07-162.052.65+29.3%+1.8%
2024-05-153.213.73+16.2%-0.6%
2024-01-242.382.96+24.4%+1.5%
2023-10-131.712.09+22.2%+1.3%

Also reporting this fortnight in Insurance - Property & Casualty

EPS history for PGR runs from 1985-09-30 to 2026-07-15, 135 reports.Reaction history covers its last 8 results, which is as deep as our daily price baseline reaches.