Marathon Petroleum Corporation
MPCOil & Gas Refining & MarketingClosed
474.25-0.8%Up to 1000x leverageTrade MPC
What it reported
Reported 77 days ago, on 2026-08-04.
Forecast against the result
| Forecast | Reported | Surprise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 40.9B | 52.3B+54.8% year on year | +28.1% |
| Net income | 4.2B | 5.1B+322.5% year on year | +23.7% |
| Earnings per share | 14.27 | 17.73+347.7% year on year | +24.2% |
Year on year compares the same quarter a year earlier (2025-08-05), not the quarter before.
MPC trades at up to 1000x here. At 1000x, a 0.10% move against you wipes out the whole margin. This ignores fees, funding and maintenance margin, all of which bring liquidation forward. Your actual liquidation price is the one shown on the order page.
You can hold through the announcement here
MPC is quoted here 24 hours a day and does not stop when the US market closes. On a US exchange the same news only shows up as a gap at the next open.
What the market expects
For the quarter ending 2026-09-30.
Against the same quarter last year (2025-11-04): EPS +742.3%revenue +33.9%
These are third-party analyst forecasts. CoinUnited.io does not produce them and does not choose which analysts are included.
Where the revenue comes from
- Refining And Marketing94.8%49.3B
- Midstream2.8%1.5B
- Renewable Diesel2.4%1.2B
Most recent reported quarter (2026-06-30).
Track record
Next report expected 2026-11-03. Reports quarterly.
Beat estimates 7 of the last 8 quarters. The typical gap is +0.82 per share.
How much it actually moves
±4.8%
Median move across the two sessions around the report, over its last 8 results. On an ordinary two-day stretch it moves 1.8%.
2026-08-04-4.48%
2024-11-05Move over the two sessions around each report2026-08-04
Beat or miss, then up or down
| Rose | Fell | |
|---|---|---|
| Beat | 4 | 3 |
| Missed | 0 | 1 |
Counted across 8 results. This is what happened, not what will.
Where analysts put it in 12 months
A different timescale from the rest of this page: these are 12-month views, not the two-day move around a report.
| Firm | Target | Set on | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Fargo | 560.00 | 2026-10-14 | TheFly |
| Jefferies | 433.00 | 2026-10-11 | TheFly |
| UBS | 510.00 | 2026-10-09 | StreetInsider |
| Mizuho Securities | 457.00 | 2026-10-08 | TheFly |
| Goldman Sachs | 472.00 | 2026-09-21 | TheFly |
| Raymond James | 445.00 | 2026-09-14 | TheFly |
| Morgan Stanley | 453.00 | 2026-09-14 | TheFly |
| Piper Sandler | 462.00 | 2026-09-03 | TheFly |
| Barclays | 321.00 | 2026-08-06 | TheFly |
| Evercore ISI | 330.00 | 2026-08-05 | TheFly |
From 10 firms that published a target in the last 180 days, latest call per firm. Targets are set by those firms; CoinUnited.io does not produce or endorse them.
Reported results
| Reported | EPS forecast | EPS actual | Surprise | Revenue surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 14.27 | 17.73 | +24.2% | +28.1% |
| 2026-05-05 | 0.739 | 1.65 | +123.3% | +3.4% |
| 2026-02-03 | 2.72 | 4.07 | +49.6% | +7.5% |
| 2025-11-04 | 3.15 | 3.01 | -4.4% | +4.1% |
| 2025-08-05 | 3.24 | 3.96 | +22.2% | +1.4% |
| 2025-05-06 | -0.5423 | -0.24 | +55.7% | -0.1% |
| 2025-02-04 | 0.022 | 0.77 | +3401.6% | +1.0% |
| 2024-11-05 | 0.98 | 1.87 | +90.8% | +3.0% |
| 2024-08-06 | 3.09 | 4.12 | +33.3% | +3.0% |
| 2024-04-30 | 2.42 | 2.58 | +6.6% | +2.0% |
| 2024-01-30 | 2.2 | 3.98 | +80.9% | +4.8% |
| 2023-10-31 | 7.75 | 8.14 | +5.0% | +2.5% |
Also reporting this fortnight in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
PSX 
VLO EPS history for MPC runs from 2009-09-30 to 2026-08-04, 61 reports.Reaction history covers its last 8 results, which is as deep as our daily price baseline reaches.